Sports

Sports

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Detroit vs New York

Got both of these right.  Not that I'm all that pleased about it, since I dislike both of these teams for their own reasons.  Oh well...

Starting Pitching
Fister, Sanchez, Verlander, Scherzer
vs
Pettitte, Kuroda, Hughes, Sabathia

Advantage: Tigers

The reality of this is that I'm basing this advantage strictly on the fact that Verlander will have gm 3 and a possible 7 on regular rest, and Sabathia will have to come back on short rest to pitch in a game 7.  Of course, this is assuming that the Yanks don't bring Sabathia back on short rest for game 3 to match up against Verlander.  In that case, this is almost as pushy as push gets.  But JV is the best pitcher in the AL, and he's more above Sabathia than one might think. 

Fister == Pettitte
Sanchez < Kuroda
Verlander >>>> Hughes
Scherzer << Sabathia

Bullpen
Valverde, Benoit, Coke, Albuquerque
vs
Soriano, Robertson, Logan, Phelps

Advantage: Yankees

These series will come down much more to single-position advantages, and this could negate any starting pitcher advantage very easily.  Valverde showed a vulnerability last series to an inferior offensive club.  It's weakness I've thought was there, but it's not important what I think to the outcome of the series.  The secondary guys will do what they will, but when it comes down to it, it'll be Valverde or Soriano, and right now, Soriano's the guy.

Lineup
Jackson 8, Infante 4, Cabrera 5, Fielder 3, Young 0, Peralta 6, Dirks 7, Garcia 9, Laird 2
vs
Jeter 6, Suzuki 7, Cano 4, Teixeira 3, Ibanez 0, Rodriguez 5, Swisher 9, Granderson 8, Martin 2

Advantage: Yankees

On the whole, I have to question Girardi's lineup choices much more than I do Leyland's.  Granderson has too much power to hit 8th.  Ichiro isn't a top-of-the-order hitter anymore.  Ibanez' hot hand is a mirage.  And yet, I still have to give them the advantage.  The Tigers' lineup goes 4 deep.  After Fielder, I'm not worried beyond a Young/Peralta one-off like last postseason.  Jeter and Ichiro can't get on base like they used to, but they only need to do it once or twice in the right spot and Cano through Granderson could be merry-go-rounding until the proverbial cows come home, particularly if the Tigers' soft middle-relief gets into the game.  Granted, Cabrera and Fielder can do as much damage as most teams, but I can't see it being enough. 

Prediction: Yankees in 6
It has to be 6, because if they let Verlander take the mound, even in Yankee Stadium, and against Sabathia, the Tigers will take it in 7.

1 comment:

  1. Love it. I'm hoping it'll go 7, just to see that. And with their leader out now, things are surely more interesting.

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